Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

RC Lens

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1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–2.

Shots
86
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.571.04
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat RC Lens 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 8–6, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.57–1.04, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.72 corners/matchCornersRC Lens · Paris Saint-Germain● 7.06 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRC LensParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Corners5.72 corners/match7.06 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Paris Saint-Germain18.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match18.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match8.83 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match2.67 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots6 shotsRC Lens 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRC Lens 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG1.04 xGRC Lens 0.57 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.04 xG
  • Possession33%67%RC Lens 33%, Paris Saint-Germain 67%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersRC Lens 6 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsRC Lens 11 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

M'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′ · 0.08 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMalang Sarr · RC Lens · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 36′ · 0.16 xG · goalDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 78′ · 0.27 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.72 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 9 shots, 7 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′M'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 36′Fabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 0.72 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens18 matchesParis Saint-Germain18 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.67 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.62 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 18.6 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 8.67 shots/match
54.4%Possession18/18● 68.6%
5.72 corners/matchCorners18/18● 7.06 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls18/188.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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