Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Rennais 1–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 1–2.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.460.99
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Stade Rennais 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Stade Brestois): shots 22–10, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.46–0.99, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Rennais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsStade Rennais 22 shots, Stade Brestois 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsStade Rennais 9 shots, Stade Brestois 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.99 xGStade Rennais 1.46 xG, Stade Brestois 0.99 xG
  • Possession68%32%Stade Rennais 68%, Stade Brestois 32%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersStade Rennais 4 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsStade Rennais 13 fouls, Stade Brestois 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 27′ · 0.01 xG · goalLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Stade Rennais · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · Stade Rennais · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 77′ · 0.05 xG · goalSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 60′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.18 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.36 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 22 shots, 9 on target, 1.49 xG. Stade Brestois: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ludovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 77′Hugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 27′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.49 xG · Stade Brestois 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Rennais
2Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–5
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais18 matchesStade Brestois18 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.72 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/171.17 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots18/1711.6 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target18/174.65 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession18/1749.2%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners18/173.65 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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