Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Nice · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

Nice

DLLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 1–3.

Shots
327
Shots on target
133
Expected goals
3.160.96
Possession
76%24%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Paris Saint-Germain 3–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Nice): shots 32–7, shots on target 13–3, expected goals 3.16–0.96, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint-Germain.

3 days ▲Rest daysParis Saint-Germain · Nice5.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricParis Saint-GermainNiceBaseline
Rest days3 days5.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Nice14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNiceBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.19 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.6% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Nice47.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNiceBaseline
Possession68.6%47.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots32 shots7 shotsParis Saint-Germain 32 shots, Nice 7 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots3 shotsParis Saint-Germain 13 shots, Nice 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.16 xG0.96 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.16 xG, Nice 0.96 xG
  • Possession76%24%Paris Saint-Germain 76%, Nice 24%
  • Corners17 corners0 cornersParis Saint-Germain 17 corners, Nice 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsParis Saint-Germain 9 fouls, Nice 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Nice · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAli Abdi · Nice · 30′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Ndayishimiye · Nice · 70′ · 0.14 xG · goalMorgan Sanson · Nice · 46′ · 0.16 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.25 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.33 xG · goalMorgan Sanson · Nice · 34′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 32 shots, 13 on target, 3.19 xG. Nice: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Fabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′Morgan Sanson · Nice · 34′Morgan Sanson · Nice · 46′Youssouf Ndayishimiye · Nice · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.19 xG · Nice 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
1Nice
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 12–3
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain31 matchesNice31 matches
2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.9 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.26 goals/match
2.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.77 xG/match
18.7 shots/match ▲Shots31/3114.6 shots/match
8.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/315.71 shots/match
68.6% ●Possession31/3147.4%
6.58 corners/match ●Corners31/315 corners/match
8.74 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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