Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Nantes

LWLWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1.

Shots
810
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.491.6
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 8–10, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.49–1.6, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nantes, Paris Saint-Germain.

4 days ▲Rest daysNantes · Paris Saint-Germain3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNantesParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Rest days4 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionNantes · Paris Saint-Germain● 68.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 29.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession38.7%68.3%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsNantes 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsNantes 2 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG1.6 xGNantes 0.49 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.6 xG
  • Possession25%75%Nantes 25%, Paris Saint-Germain 75%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersNantes 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls9 foulsNantes 5 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolas Cozza · Nantes · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.09 xG · goalJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 83′ · 0.12 xG · goalJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 43′ · 0.20 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.24 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 48′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.37 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.47 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Augusto Douglas · Nantes · 83′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.47 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantes
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 14–2
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes30 matchesParis Saint-Germain30 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.77 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.67 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 18.3 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 8.27 shots/match
38.7%Possession30/30● 68.3%
4.2 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.23 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls30/308.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 22 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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