Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Rennais 2–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

Nantes

LLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 2–1.

Shots
194
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.770.68
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Nantes 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Nantes): shots 19–4, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.77–0.68, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes have a visible away split

moderate

Nantes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.44 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Nantes10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisNantesBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsStade Rennais 19 shots, Nantes 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotStade Rennais 5 shots, Nantes 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.77 xG0.68 xGStade Rennais 2.77 xG, Nantes 0.68 xG
  • Possession66%34%Stade Rennais 66%, Nantes 34%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersStade Rennais 10 corners, Nantes 2 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls13 foulsStade Rennais 24 fouls, Nantes 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Seko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Stade Rennais · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 23′ · 0.18 xG · goalAnthony Rouault · Stade Rennais · 63′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Stade Rennais · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 86′ · 0.27 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 54′ · 0.53 xG · goalAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.57 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 13′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.80 xG. Nantes: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Adrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 23′Mohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 86′Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 2.80 xG · Nantes 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Stade Rennais
0Draws
1Nantes
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais30 matchesNantes29 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/291.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.69 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/291.18 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots30/2910.3 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/293.79 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession30/2939.1%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners30/294.21 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls30/2912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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