PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
3.140.45
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Havre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Le Havre): shots 18–9, shots on target 11–1, expected goals 3.14–0.45, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Le Havre10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainLe HavreBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.31 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.1% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Le Havre42%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainLe HavreBaseline
Possession68.1%42%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsParis Saint-Germain 18 shots, Le Havre 9 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotParis Saint-Germain 11 shots, Le Havre 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.14 xG0.45 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.14 xG, Le Havre 0.45 xG
  • Possession70%30%Paris Saint-Germain 70%, Le Havre 30%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersParis Saint-Germain 7 corners, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsParis Saint-Germain 7 fouls, Le Havre 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Diawara · Le Havre · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 60′ · 0.07 xG · goalIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint-Germain · 25′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′ · 0.18 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.20 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.35 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.54 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 18 shots, 11 on target, 3.14 xG. Le Havre: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.14 xG · Le Havre 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 13–3
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain29 matchesLe Havre30 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/301.1 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/302.13 goals/match
2.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.28 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots29/2910.5 shots/match
8.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.28 shots/match
68.1% ●Possession29/2942%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners29/293.86 corners/match
8.72 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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