PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique de Marseille 5–1 Montpellier · Ligue 1

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 5–1.

Shots
186
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.730.24
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Montpellier 5–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Montpellier): shots 18–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.73–0.24, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.4% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Montpellier45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleMontpellierBaseline
Possession64.4%45.1%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Olympique de Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Montpellier11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleMontpellierBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.77 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots6 shotsOlympique de Marseille 18 shots, Montpellier 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotOlympique de Marseille 8 shots, Montpellier 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.73 xG0.24 xGOlympique de Marseille 3.73 xG, Montpellier 0.24 xG
  • Possession68%32%Olympique de Marseille 68%, Montpellier 32%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersOlympique de Marseille 7 corners, Montpellier 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsOlympique de Marseille 11 fouls, Montpellier 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille
2Draws
0Montpellier
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–5
Olympique de Marseille — Montpellier · Ligue 14–1
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Montpellier · Ligue 11–1
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille30 matchesMontpellier30 matches
2.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.73 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.37 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.08 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.3 shots/match
5.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.7 shots/match
64.4% ●Possession30/3045.1%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners30/304.7 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleMontpellier
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Montpellier
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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