PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Le Havre 1–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre and AS Monaco drew 1–1.

Shots
920
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.513.2
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre and AS Monaco drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – AS Monaco): shots 9–20, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.51–3.2, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · AS Monaco15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreAS MonacoBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.68 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%PossessionLe Havre · AS Monaco● 55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreAS MonacoBaseline
Possession41.9%55.6%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsLe Havre 9 shots, AS Monaco 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsLe Havre 3 shots, AS Monaco 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG3.2 xGLe Havre 0.51 xG, AS Monaco 3.2 xG
  • Possession39%61%Le Havre 39%, AS Monaco 61%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, AS Monaco 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsLe Havre 12 fouls, AS Monaco 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoatasem Al-Musrati · AS Monaco · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMoatasem Al-Musrati · AS Monaco · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoatasem Al-Musrati · AS Monaco · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTimothee Pembele · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVanderson · AS Monaco · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 34′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 3′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 22′ · 0.21 xG · goalBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 58′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.31 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.36 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 61′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG. AS Monaco: 20 shots, 7 on target, 3.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ahmed Hassan · Le Havre · 22′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.46 xG · AS Monaco 3.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
2Draws
1AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Le Havre · Ligue 13–1
AS Monaco — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre31 matchesAS Monaco31 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.87 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals30/31▲ 2.27 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 15 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 5.61 shots/match
41.9%Possession30/31● 55.6%
3.83 corners/matchCorners30/31● 5.52 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3113.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLe Havre — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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