PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 3–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.021.22
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat VfL Wolfsburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 10–13, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.02–1.22, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 10 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 5 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG1.22 xGTSG Hoffenheim 2.02 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.22 xG
  • Possession39%61%TSG Hoffenheim 39%, VfL Wolfsburg 61%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 3 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 12 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVáclav Černý · VfL Wolfsburg · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · VfL Wolfsburg · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 74′ · 0.05 xG · goalJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVáclav Černý · VfL Wolfsburg · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJohn Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 31′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 55′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 36′ · 0.40 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 60′ · 0.50 xG · goalJohn Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.03 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′John Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′Maximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 60′Robert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 74′Tiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 2.03 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
2VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–2
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim3 matchesVfL Wolfsburg3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.69 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots3/313.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7 shots/match
50.7%Possession3/3● 53.3%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/31.67 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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