Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 13:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

1. FC Köln

LLD

1–3Historical match

TSG Hoffenheim

LWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Köln	TSG Hoffenheim
Shots	18 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1 xG/match	1.04 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	13 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

1. FC Köln: 18 shots, 6 on target, 0.97 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.97 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

11. FC Köln

1Draws

2TSG Hoffenheim

22 Apr 20231899 Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3

30 Oct 20221. FC Köln — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1

6 Mar 20221. FC Köln — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–1

15 Oct 20211899 Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.87 xG/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.83 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/415.3 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/417.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/48 shots/match

43.3%Possessionseason · 4/4●49%

5.75 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/47 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Köln25

TSG Hoffenheim52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Köln25

TSG Hoffenheim63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Köln68.5

TSG Hoffenheim29.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Köln58.3

TSG Hoffenheim63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln27.8

TSG Hoffenheim38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln86.1

TSG Hoffenheim27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Köln44.5

TSG Hoffenheim45.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

1. FC Köln4 matchesTSG Hoffenheim4 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.87 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲15.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

43.3%Possession4/4●49%

5.75 corners/match●Corners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1. FC Köln2 matchesTSG Hoffenheim2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4