PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 1–3.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
11.04
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat 1. FC Köln 3–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 18–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1–1.04, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shots1. FC Köln 18 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shots1. FC Köln 7 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.04 xG1. FC Köln 1 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.04 xG
  • Possession56%44%1. FC Köln 56%, TSG Hoffenheim 44%
  • Corners13 corners4 corners1. FC Köln 13 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 fouls1. FC Köln 15 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Timo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenno Schmitz · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 52′ · 0.05 xG · goalFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 28′ · 0.06 xG · goalDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 61′ · 0.06 xG · goalPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 3′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 1′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 82′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 1′ · 0.19 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 18 shots, 6 on target, 0.97 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Davie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 61′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 1′Florian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 28′Maximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.97 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Köln
1Draws
2TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–1
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln4 matchesTSG Hoffenheim4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.87 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
43.3%Possession4/4● 49%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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