PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 1–0.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.772.15
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 10–20, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.77–2.15, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.67 corners/match ●Corners1. FC Heidenheim · 1. FC Union Berlin6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Corners6.67 corners/match6 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shots1. FC Heidenheim 10 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shots1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG2.15 xG1. FC Heidenheim 0.77 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 2.15 xG
  • Possession49%51%1. FC Heidenheim 49%, 1. FC Union Berlin 51%
  • Corners5 corners7 corners1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.05 xG · goalNorman Theuerkauf · 1. FC Heidenheim · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTim Siersleben · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 20′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 9′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0.77 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 2.22 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim6 matches1. FC Union Berlin6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.48 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.5 shots/match
40.7%Possession6/6● 45.2%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners6/66 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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