PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3–0.

Shots
237
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
3.271.41
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat 1. FC Köln 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln): shots 23–7, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 3.27–1.41, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · 1. FC Köln12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC KölnBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match12 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against9.43 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.57 corners/matchCornersBayer 04 Leverkusen · 1. FC Köln● 6.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC KölnBaseline
Corners5.57 corners/match6.14 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

weak

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match12 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 23 shots, 1. FC Köln 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 shots, 1. FC Köln 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.27 xG1.41 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 3.27 xG, 1. FC Köln 1.41 xG
  • Possession64%36%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 64%, 1. FC Köln 36%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 11 corners, 1. FC Köln 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 fouls, 1. FC Köln 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 13′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 10′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMax Finkgrafe · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.20 xG · on targetEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.21 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.22 xG · goalJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 32′ · 0.23 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.53 xG · goalEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.87 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 23 shots, 10 on target, 3.24 xG. 1. FC Köln: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 32′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.24 xG · 1. FC Köln 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1Draws
21. FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Köln — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Köln — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen7 matches1. FC Köln7 matches
3.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
2.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.08 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/712 shots/match
8.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession7/743%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.14 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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