PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 3–0 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–0.

Shots
212
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
2.430.05
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat SC Freiburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – SC Freiburg): shots 21–2, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 2.43–0.05, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · SC Freiburg12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against6.86 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

weak

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 21 shots, SC Freiburg 2 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsFC Bayern München 6 shots, SC Freiburg 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG0.05 xGFC Bayern München 2.43 xG, SC Freiburg 0.05 xG
  • Possession70%30%FC Bayern München 70%, SC Freiburg 30%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 7 corners, SC Freiburg 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsFC Bayern München 7 fouls, SC Freiburg 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.01 xG · goalJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.04 xG · goalLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 83′ · 0.11 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 71′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFrans Krätzig · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.50 xG. SC Freiburg: 2 shots, 0 on target, 0.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 12′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 25′Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.50 xG · SC Freiburg 0.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Bayern München
0Draws
0SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1
FC Bayern München — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–0
SC Freiburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–4
FC Bayern München — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München7 matchesSC Freiburg7 matches
3.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
2.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.26 xG/match
20.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
8.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.43 shots/match
63.7% ●Possession7/746.6%
7.71 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/79.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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