PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 2–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 2–0.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.50.8
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat 1. FC Köln 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln): shots 11–16, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.5–0.8, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Köln.

4.12 days ▲Rest days1. FC Union Berlin · 1. FC Köln3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC Union Berlin1. FC KölnBaseline
Rest days4.12 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shots1. FC Union Berlin 11 shots, 1. FC Köln 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shots1. FC Union Berlin 7 shots, 1. FC Köln 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.8 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.5 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.8 xG
  • Possession39%61%1. FC Union Berlin 39%, 1. FC Köln 61%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, 1. FC Köln 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 10 fouls, 1. FC Köln 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 57′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDenis Huseinbašić · 1. FC Köln · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 51′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.15 xG · goalKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 78′ · 0.26 xG · goalAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.61 xG. 1. FC Köln: 16 shots, 7 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′David Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.61 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Union Berlin
2Draws
01. FC Köln
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Köln — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Köln — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin15 matches1. FC Köln16 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/160.63 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/161.13 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/1612.3 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target15/164.56 shots/match
43.9%Possession15/16● 47.2%
5.07 corners/matchCorners15/16● 5.13 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union Berlin1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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