PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.30.7
Possession
75%25%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Köln): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.3–0.7, possession 75%–25%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.7 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.58 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.58 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Köln46%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC KölnBaseline
Possession59.5%46%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsVfB Stuttgart 13 shots, 1. FC Köln 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 5 shots, 1. FC Köln 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.7 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.3 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.7 xG
  • Possession75%25%VfB Stuttgart 75%, 1. FC Köln 25%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersVfB Stuttgart 9 corners, 1. FC Köln 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsVfB Stuttgart 12 fouls, 1. FC Köln 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 75′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJustin Diehl · 1. FC Köln · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 62′ · 0.07 xG · goalWoo-Yeong Jeong · VfB Stuttgart · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWoo-Yeong Jeong · VfB Stuttgart · 14′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 68′ · 0.45 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 53′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG. 1. FC Köln: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Enzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 53′Eric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 2.26 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
11. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–2
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–0
1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart23 matches1. FC Köln23 matches
2.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/230.7 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.61 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.04 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.2 shots/match
6.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.3 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession23/2346%
4.96 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.48 corners/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required