1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach — Bundesliga 2023/24 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 14:30 UTC

1. FSV Mainz 05

LDLWL

1–1Historical match

Borussia M'gladbach

DLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1.

Shots: 1914
Shots on target: 35
Expected goals: 0.981.02
Possession: 44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 19–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.98–1.02, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.2 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · Borussia M'gladbach13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	Borussia M'gladbach	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.1 shots/match
Shots against	11.6 shots/match	17.2 shots/match	14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.42 corners/match ●Corners1. FSV Mainz 05 · Borussia M'gladbach5.25 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	Borussia M'gladbach	Baseline
Corners	5.42 corners/match	5.25 corners/match	4.77 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

Shots19 shots14 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 19 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 14 shots
Shots on target3 shots5 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
Expected goals0.98 xG1.02 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 0.98 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.02 xG
Possession44%56%1. FSV Mainz 05 44%, Borussia M'gladbach 56%
Corners12 corners6 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 12 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 6 corners
Fouls11 fouls16 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 11 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 19 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.97 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FSV Mainz 05

3Draws

0Borussia M'gladbach

6 Oct 2023Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–2

24 Feb 20231. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0

4 Sept 2022Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga0–1

3 Apr 2022Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1

5 Nov 20211. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 0524 matchesBorussia M'gladbach24 matches

0.79 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.75 goals/match

1.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.92 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.48 xG/match

13.9 shots/matchShots24/2413.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.54 shots/match

46.2%Possession24/24● 47%

5.42 corners/match ●Corners24/245.25 corners/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls24/249.96 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season