PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 0–2.

Shots
616
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.522.28
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat SV Werder Bremen 2–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 6–16, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.52–2.28, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsSV Werder Bremen · VfL Wolfsburg12.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Fouls12.4 fouls/match12.9 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots16 shotsSV Werder Bremen 6 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsSV Werder Bremen 1 shot, VfL Wolfsburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG2.28 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.52 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 2.28 xG
  • Possession49%51%SV Werder Bremen 49%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersSV Werder Bremen 3 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · VfL Wolfsburg · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmin Sarr · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSkelly Alvero · SV Werder Bremen · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Lacroix · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKevin Paredes · VfL Wolfsburg · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · VfL Wolfsburg · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · VfL Wolfsburg · 11′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · VfL Wolfsburg · 11′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 67′ · 0.34 xG · on targetLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Maxence Lacroix · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′Lovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 0.53 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 2.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–1
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen27 matchesVfL Wolfsburg27 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.22 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.63 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.24 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots27/2712.3 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.56 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession27/2747.1%
3.59 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.41 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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