PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig drew 1–1.

Shots
208
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
1.610.81
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig): shots 20–8, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.61–0.81, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · RB Leipzig16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 20 shots, RB Leipzig 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 8 shots, RB Leipzig 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG0.81 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.61 xG, RB Leipzig 0.81 xG
  • Possession56%44%TSG Hoffenheim 56%, RB Leipzig 44%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 4 corners, RB Leipzig 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 6 fouls, RB Leipzig 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBambasé Conté · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.12 xG · goalLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 41′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 49′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goalXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 16′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 20 shots, 8 on target, 1.60 xG. RB Leipzig: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.60 xG · RB Leipzig 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
4RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
RB Leipzig — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–0
TSG Hoffenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–3
RB Leipzig — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–0
TSG Hoffenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim32 matchesRB Leipzig32 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2.31 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 2 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 16 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 6.66 shots/match
49.4%Possession32/32● 56%
4.38 corners/matchCorners32/32● 6.03 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 May 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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