PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–5.

Shots
179
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.952.68
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Eintracht Frankfurt 5–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 17–9, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.95–2.68, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · Bayer 04 Leverkusen17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match8.69 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible home split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 17 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG2.68 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.95 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.68 xG
  • Possession55%45%Eintracht Frankfurt 55%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 45%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 10 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls4 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.13 xG · goalHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′ · 0.31 xG · goalExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 21′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.44 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.46 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 42′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 89′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.94 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 9 shots, 6 on target, 2.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′Granit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′Exequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.94 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga5–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt32 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen32 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2.56 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 2.13 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 6.97 shots/match
52.1%Possession32/32● 61.8%
4.53 corners/matchCorners32/32● 7.03 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls32/329.03 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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