PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 4–2.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.691.8
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 13–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.69–1.8, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Heidenheim38%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession61.3%38%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Heidenheim10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against7.67 shots/match13 shots/match10.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsBorussia Dortmund 13 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBorussia Dortmund 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG1.8 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.69 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.8 xG
  • Possession61%39%Borussia Dortmund 61%, 1. FC Heidenheim 39%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerBorussia Dortmund 8 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsBorussia Dortmund 12 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.13 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.24 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.27 xG · goalLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.54 xG · on targetMaximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goalEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.74 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 11′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 17′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 41′Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′Maximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.74 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund
2Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund3 matches1. FC Heidenheim3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession3/338%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/32.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Sept 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia Dortmund1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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