PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024Fri, 13 Sept 2024, 18:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match
4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC Heidenheim
Shots13 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals2.69 xG/match▲1.8 xG/match
Possession61%●39%
Corners8 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.13 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.24 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.27 xG · goalLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.54 xG · on targetMaximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goalEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.74 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 11′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 17′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 41′Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′Maximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.74 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.85 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3%●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Heidenheim38%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession61.3%38%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Heidenheim10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against7.67 shots/match13 shots/match10.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Borussia Dortmund
2Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32 xG/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.55 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.3 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
61.3%●Possessionseason · 3/338%
7 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/32.67 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/316 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund75
1. FC Heidenheim25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund50
1. FC Heidenheim50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund75
1. FC Heidenheim25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund25
1. FC Heidenheim75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund25
1. FC Heidenheim75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund75
1. FC Heidenheim25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund56.2
1. FC Heidenheim43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund3 matches1. FC Heidenheim3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
61.3%●Possession3/338%
7 corners/match●Corners3/32.67 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Borussia Dortmund2 matches1. FC Heidenheim2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Sept 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia Dortmund1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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