PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 3–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.452.66
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 12–13, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.45–2.66, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · VfL Bochum 184813.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots11.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 12 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 7 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG2.66 xGTSG Hoffenheim 2.45 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 2.66 xG
  • Possession50%50%TSG Hoffenheim 50%, VfL Bochum 1848 50%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 4 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Prass · TSG Hoffenheim · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmut Tohumcu · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.05 xG · goalAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKoji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 11′ · 0.13 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′ · 0.27 xG · goalPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKoji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 42′ · 0.38 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 16′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 39′ · 0.56 xG · on targetLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 47′ · 0.79 xG · off target or blockedLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.51 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 11′Marius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′Haris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′Cristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 2.51 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 2.67 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim7 matchesVfL Bochum 18487 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
2.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.43 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.29 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.3 shots/match
5.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
44.6% ●Possession7/744%
4.57 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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