Bundesliga · 2024Fri, 1 Nov 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WDDWD

0–0Full-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

WDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	VfB Stuttgart
Shots	19 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.36 xG/match▲	0.28 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	10 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.33 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.33 xG · VfB Stuttgart 0.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.89 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.4 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	VfB Stuttgart	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.9 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen

3Draws

0VfB Stuttgart

27 Apr 2024Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

10 Dec 2023VfB Stuttgart — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

14 May 2023VfB Stuttgart — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

12 Nov 2022Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–0

12 Feb 2022Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 3 too close

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.89 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.78 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.79 xG/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.66 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/914.2 shots/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/912.3 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/95.33 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95.33 shots/match

58.7%●Possessionseason · 9/957.6%

8.44 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/95.44 corners/match

3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.22 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.78 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen86.1

VfB Stuttgart80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen91.7

VfB Stuttgart76.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen63.9

VfB Stuttgart45.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen97.2

VfB Stuttgart19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen8.3

VfB Stuttgart30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen97.2

VfB Stuttgart75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen72.2

VfB Stuttgart63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 matchesVfB Stuttgart9 matches

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.89 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.79 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots9/914.2 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target9/95.33 shots/match

58.7%●Possession9/957.6%

8.44 corners/match●Corners9/95.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.22 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 matchesVfB Stuttgart5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.04 xG/match

23 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

64.4%●Possession5/555%

10.8 corners/match●Corners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.25 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Nov 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4