PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.71.24
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.7–1.24, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848Bayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match18.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match18.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 15 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.24 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.7 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.24 xG
  • Possession29%71%VfL Bochum 1848 29%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 6 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 10 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKoji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′ · 0.09 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 57′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Koji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.70 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.15 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184810 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.1 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 2.14 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 18.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 6.6 shots/match
40%Possession10/10● 59.9%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/10● 8 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848Bayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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