PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 5–2.

Shots
206
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.231.06
Possession
79%21%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat 1. FC Heidenheim 5–2. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 20–6, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.23–1.06, possession 79%–21%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.36 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · 1. FC Heidenheim13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots18.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.5 shots/match18.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG1.06 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.23 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.06 xG
  • Possession79%21%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 79%, 1. FC Heidenheim 21%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 24′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 82′ · 0.08 xG · goalNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.19 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.21 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.27 xG · goalNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 10′ · 0.40 xG · goalMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.42 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 32′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 10 on target, 2.29 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Exequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 32′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′Granit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 82′Niklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 10′Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.29 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen11 matches1. FC Heidenheim11 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.57 xG/match
18.9 shots/match ▲Shots11/1113.1 shots/match
6.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.27 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession11/1143%
7.82 corners/match ●Corners11/113.73 corners/match
9.09 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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