Bundesliga · 2024Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

DLWDL

2–0Full-time recap

VfL Bochum 1848

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	VfL Bochum 1848
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.67 xG/match▲	0.69 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	7 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.73 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.91 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	15 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · VfL Bochum 184812.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	VfL Bochum 1848	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.6 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3VfB Stuttgart

1Draws

1VfL Bochum 1848

20 Jan 2024VfL Bochum 1848 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–0

19 Aug 2023VfB Stuttgart — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga5–0

9 Apr 2023VfL Bochum 1848 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–3

15 Oct 2022VfB Stuttgart — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga4–1

19 Feb 2022VfB Stuttgart — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0 · 2 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.91 goals/match

1.73 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112.91 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.16 xG/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/112.44 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1112.2 shots/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1116.6 shots/match

5.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.91 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/116.27 shots/match

57.8%●Possessionseason · 11/1140.2%

5.82 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/113.36 corners/match

4.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.55 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/110%

82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfB Stuttgart80.6

VfL Bochum 18482.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfB Stuttgart80.6

VfL Bochum 184821.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfB Stuttgart55.5

VfL Bochum 184810.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfB Stuttgart41.7

VfL Bochum 184880.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart22.2

VfL Bochum 184897.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

VfL Bochum 18482.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfB Stuttgart68.8

VfL Bochum 184837.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart11 matchesVfL Bochum 184811 matches

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match

1.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.91 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.16 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.2 shots/match

5.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match

57.8%●Possession11/1140.2%

5.82 corners/match●Corners11/113.36 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.55 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfB Stuttgart6 matchesVfL Bochum 18486 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/63.17 goals/match

2.53 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.38 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots6/611 shots/match

8.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match

60.2%●Possession6/640.7%

8.5 corners/match●Corners6/62.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.17 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4