PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach and Borussia Dortmund drew 1–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.131.53
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach and Borussia Dortmund drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – Borussia Dortmund): shots 9–16, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.13–1.53, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.83 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · Borussia Dortmund13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match10.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 9 shots, Borussia Dortmund 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 3 shots, Borussia Dortmund 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.53 xGBorussia M'gladbach 1.13 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.53 xG
  • Possession40%60%Borussia M'gladbach 40%, Borussia Dortmund 60%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 7 corners, Borussia Dortmund 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 16 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ko Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 61′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.12 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 35′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 71′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 1.17 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia M'gladbach
0Draws
4Borussia Dortmund
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–2
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach13 matchesBorussia Dortmund13 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.55 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots13/1313.5 shots/match
5.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.69 shots/match
52.3%Possession13/13● 59.4%
4.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.23 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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