PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim and SC Freiburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.411.03
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim and SC Freiburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – SC Freiburg): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.41–1.03, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · SC Freiburg13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 15 shots, SC Freiburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 5 shots, SC Freiburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.03 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.41 xG, SC Freiburg 1.03 xG
  • Possession50%50%TSG Hoffenheim 50%, SC Freiburg 50%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerTSG Hoffenheim 6 corners, SC Freiburg 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls, SC Freiburg 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diadié Samassékou · TSG Hoffenheim · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDiadié Samassékou · TSG Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · SC Freiburg · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDennis Geiger · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.06 xG · goalArthur Chaves · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 3′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 68′ · 0.13 xG · goalMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · TSG Hoffenheim · 32′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 51′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.64 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG. SC Freiburg: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Tom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′Matthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.39 xG · SC Freiburg 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0TSG Hoffenheim
1Draws
4SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–2
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2
SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim13 matchesSC Freiburg13 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.31 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.77 shots/matchShots on target13/134.54 shots/match
49.8%Possession13/13● 50.5%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls13/137.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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