PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0–2.

Shots
814
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.560.79
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat FC Augsburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 8–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.56–0.79, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible home split

moderate

FC Augsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%PossessionFC Augsburg · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 62.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession41.6%62.1%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.79 xGFC Augsburg 0.56 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.79 xG
  • Possession34%66%FC Augsburg 34%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersFC Augsburg 4 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls5 foulsFC Augsburg 12 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 40′ · 0.06 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 14′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.57 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Martin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 14′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.57 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg14 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.87 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 16.9 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 6 shots/match
41.6%Possession14/14● 62.1%
5 corners/matchCorners14/14● 7.5 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/148.86 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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