PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 Inter · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

Inter

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.140.29
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Inter 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Inter): shots 17–6, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.14–0.29, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible home split

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · Inter12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenInterBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 17 shots, Inter 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots, Inter 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.29 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.14 xG, Inter 0.29 xG
  • Possession61%39%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 61%, Inter 39%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners, Inter 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 fouls, Inter 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Granit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 3′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.17 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.11 xG. Inter: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.11 xG · Inter 0.29 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen6 matchesInter6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.17 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.61 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/612 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession6/646%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners6/62.17 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenInter
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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