Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 5–1.

Shots
224
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
3.290.34
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 5–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – RB Leipzig): shots 22–4, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 3.29–0.34, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · RB Leipzig11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against5.13 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

72.1% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · RB Leipzig51%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenRB LeipzigBaseline
Possession72.1%51%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

RB Leipzig have a visible away split

moderate

RB Leipzig's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots4 shotsFC Bayern München 22 shots, RB Leipzig 4 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 9 shots, RB Leipzig 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.29 xG0.34 xGFC Bayern München 3.29 xG, RB Leipzig 0.34 xG
  • Possession71%29%FC Bayern München 71%, RB Leipzig 29%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 8 corners, RB Leipzig 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsFC Bayern München 9 fouls, RB Leipzig 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.02 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 64′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 2′ · 0.19 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.22 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.32 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 1′ · 0.33 xG · goalLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.35 xG · goalAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 22 shots, 9 on target, 3.23 xG. RB Leipzig: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 1′Konrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 25′Joshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 36′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 75′Alphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 78′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.23 xG · RB Leipzig 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
2Draws
1RB Leipzig
FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
RB Leipzig — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–2
FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–3
RB Leipzig — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München15 matchesRB Leipzig15 matches
3.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.6 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
2.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.39 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511.5 shots/match
7.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.73 shots/match
72.1% ●Possession15/1551%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners15/154 corners/match
8.47 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Dec 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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