PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 5–1.

Shots
208
Shots on target
122
Expected goals
2.860.67
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat SC Freiburg 5–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – SC Freiburg): shots 20–8, shots on target 12–2, expected goals 2.86–0.67, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.47 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.1 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · SC Freiburg13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots, SC Freiburg 8 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots2 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 12 shots, SC Freiburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.86 xG0.67 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.86 xG, SC Freiburg 0.67 xG
  • Possession67%33%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67%, SC Freiburg 33%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 corners, SC Freiburg 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 fouls, SC Freiburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 55′ · 0.07 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 57′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.10 xG · goalPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.11 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.12 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.21 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 23′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.23 xG · goalMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.28 xG · on targetEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 12 on target, 2.92 xG. SC Freiburg: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.92 xG · SC Freiburg 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1Draws
1SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen15 matchesSC Freiburg15 matches
2.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.47 xG/match
17.1 shots/match ▲Shots15/1513.7 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.67 shots/match
62.4% ●Possession15/1549.5%
7.27 corners/match ●Corners15/154.13 corners/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls15/157.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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