PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Heidenheim 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 2–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
1.41.16
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 16–10, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 1.4–1.16, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · 1. FC Union Berlin11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shots1. FC Heidenheim 16 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shots1. FC Heidenheim 9 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.16 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.4 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.16 xG
  • Possession58%42%1. FC Heidenheim 58%, 1. FC Union Berlin 42%
  • Corners5 corners4 corners1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 8 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 8′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.16 xG · on targetFrans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.22 xG · goalAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.24 xG · goalRobert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 16′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.45 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Frans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′Adrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.45 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
01. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim16 matches1. FC Union Berlin16 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.81 goals/match
2.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/150.97 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots16/1511.8 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/153.73 shots/match
42.3% ●Possession16/1540.5%
3.94 corners/matchCorners16/15● 4.73 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1513.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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