Bundesliga · 2024Fri, 7 Feb 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FC Bayern München

WWWWW

3–0Full-time recap

SV Werder Bremen

LDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Bayern München	SV Werder Bremen
Shots	21 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Shots on target	12 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	4.05 xG/match▲	0.13 xG/match
Possession	75%●	25%
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FC Bayern München: 21 shots, 12 on target, 4.16 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 2 shots, 0 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 4.16 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/match▲ShotsFC Bayern München · SV Werder Bremen11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC Bayern München	SV Werder Bremen	Baseline
Shots	19.8 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	5.19 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.62 goals/match	1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

71.4%●PossessionFC Bayern München · SV Werder Bremen49.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	FC Bayern München	SV Werder Bremen	Baseline
Possession	71.4%	49.4%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4FC Bayern München

0Draws

1SV Werder Bremen

21 Sept 2024SV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–5

21 Jan 2024FC Bayern München — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–1

18 Aug 2023SV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4

6 May 2023SV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2

8 Nov 2022FC Bayern München — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga6–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0 · 2 too close

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/211.62 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.86 goals/match

2.55 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 21/211.4 xG/match

0.6 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 21/211.5 xG/match

19.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/2111.7 shots/match

5.19 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 21/2114 shots/match

8.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/214 shots/match

1.76 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.95 shots/match

71.4%●Possessionseason · 21/2149.4%

7.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 21/214.62 corners/match

1.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/215 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.29 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/219.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

48%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2119%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2171%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Bayern München97.2

SV Werder Bremen52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Bayern München97.2

SV Werder Bremen37.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Bayern München97.2

SV Werder Bremen38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Bayern München75

SV Werder Bremen13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München2.8

SV Werder Bremen30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München97.2

SV Werder Bremen36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Bayern München73.6

SV Werder Bremen31.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FC Bayern München21 matchesSV Werder Bremen21 matches

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scored21/211.62 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.86 goals/match

2.55 xG/match▲Expected goals21/211.4 xG/match

19.8 shots/match▲Shots21/2111.7 shots/match

8.29 shots/match▲Shots on target21/214 shots/match

71.4%●Possession21/2149.4%

7.1 corners/match●Corners21/214.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.29 fouls/matchFouls21/219.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FC Bayern München11 matchesSV Werder Bremen11 matches

3.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.82 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match

2.9 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.39 xG/match

21.8 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.4 shots/match

9 shots/match▲Shots on target11/114 shots/match

72.6%●Possession11/1149.2%

7.45 corners/match●Corners11/114.27 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.73 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Feb 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4