PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Holstein Kiel and VfL Bochum 1848 drew 2–2.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
2.012.12
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Holstein Kiel and VfL Bochum 1848 drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 10–20, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2.01–2.12, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Holstein Kiel's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Holstein Kiel's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsHolstein Kiel · VfL Bochum 184814.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHolstein KielVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Fouls12.4 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHolstein Kiel · VfL Bochum 184812.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHolstein KielVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsHolstein Kiel 10 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsHolstein Kiel 3 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.01 xG2.12 xGHolstein Kiel 2.01 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 2.12 xG
  • Possession49%51%Holstein Kiel 49%, VfL Bochum 1848 51%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersHolstein Kiel 3 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsHolstein Kiel 11 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Giorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 37′ · 0.05 xG · goalGiorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Zec · Holstein Kiel · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 13′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDavid Zec · Holstein Kiel · 50′ · 0.19 xG · goalBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 5′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′ · 0.29 xG · goalDavid Zec · Holstein Kiel · 88′ · 0.52 xG · on targetMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 11′ · 0.55 xG · on targetSteven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 3′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Holstein Kiel: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.90 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 3′David Zec · Holstein Kiel · 50′Myron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 37′Myron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Holstein Kiel 1.90 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 2.35 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel21 matchesVfL Bochum 184821 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.95 goals/match
2.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 2.14 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals21/201.21 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/203.65 shots/match
42.3%Possession21/20● 44.2%
3.38 corners/matchCorners21/20● 4.5 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein KielVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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