PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–2.

Shots
107
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.831.61
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 10–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.83–1.61, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.5% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · VfL Wolfsburg43.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession57.5%43.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsVfB Stuttgart 10 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVfB Stuttgart 4 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.61 xGVfB Stuttgart 0.83 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.61 xG
  • Possession58%42%VfB Stuttgart 58%, VfL Wolfsburg 42%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersVfB Stuttgart 7 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsVfB Stuttgart 10 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Denis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRamon Hendriks · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamon Hendriks · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRamon Hendriks · VfB Stuttgart · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 72′ · 0.23 xG · goalTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 77′ · 0.63 xG · goalMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 72′Tiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 77′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 0.86 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
2VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2
VfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–3
VfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1
VfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–1
VfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart22 matchesVfL Wolfsburg22 matches
1.82 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.05 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.48 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.6 shots/match
5.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.5 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession22/2243.4%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners22/224.82 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2211 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required