PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–0.

Shots
1525
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.863.06
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Dortmund 2–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Borussia Dortmund): shots 15–25, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.86–3.06, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Leipzig's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.58 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig have a visible home split

moderate

RB Leipzig's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Borussia Dortmund14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots25 shotsRB Leipzig 15 shots, Borussia Dortmund 25 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsRB Leipzig 5 shots, Borussia Dortmund 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG3.06 xGRB Leipzig 1.86 xG, Borussia Dortmund 3.06 xG
  • Possession34%66%RB Leipzig 34%, Borussia Dortmund 66%
  • Corners3 corners12 cornersRB Leipzig 3 corners, Borussia Dortmund 12 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsRB Leipzig 14 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTidiam Gomis · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 48′ · 0.06 xG · goalJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEl Chadaille Bitshiabu · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 46′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 76′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.32 xG · goalBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 67′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 14′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.71 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.86 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 25 shots, 9 on target, 3.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 18′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.86 xG · Borussia Dortmund 3.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RB Leipzig
0Draws
2Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–1
Borussia Dortmund — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–3
Borussia Dortmund — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig26 matchesBorussia Dortmund26 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.58 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.73 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target26/264.46 shots/match
51.9%Possession26/26● 61.4%
4.46 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.92 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls26/269.77 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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