PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.970.46
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 14–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.97–0.46, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Bochum 184812.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots16 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.63 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Bochum 184843.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Possession59.4%43.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG0.46 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.97 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 0.46 xG
  • Possession66%34%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%, VfL Bochum 1848 34%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 20′ · 0.06 xG · goalFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′ · 0.06 xG · goalPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 87′ · 0.38 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.01 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Aleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 20′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′Amine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 87′Felix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.01 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.48 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen27 matchesVfL Bochum 184827 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.04 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.04 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/261.22 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots27/2612.7 shots/match
5.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/264.04 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession27/2643.4%
6.89 corners/match ●Corners27/264.54 corners/match
9.15 fouls/matchFouls27/2613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Mar 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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