Bundesliga · 2024Fri, 28 Mar 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DWWLW

3–1Full-time recap

VfL Bochum 1848

WDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	VfL Bochum 1848
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.97 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	66%●	34%
Corners	3 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.01 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.01 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Bochum 184812.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	VfL Bochum 1848	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	9.63 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4%●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Bochum 184843.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	VfL Bochum 1848	Baseline
Possession	59.4%	43.4%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.04 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1Draws

1VfL Bochum 1848

9 Nov 2024VfL Bochum 1848 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

12 May 2024VfL Bochum 1848 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–5

20 Dec 2023Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga4–0

27 May 2023VfL Bochum 1848 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–0

25 Jan 2023Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0 · 2 too close

2.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271.04 goals/match

1.26 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/272.04 goals/match

1.92 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/261.22 xG/match

1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/261.99 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2612.7 shots/match

9.63 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2614.3 shots/match

5.96 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/264.04 shots/match

4.04 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/264.85 shots/match

59.4%●Possessionseason · 27/2643.4%

6.89 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/264.54 corners/match

3.19 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/265.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2613.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2715%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen86.1

VfL Bochum 184819.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen91.7

VfL Bochum 184835.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen88

VfL Bochum 184826.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen69.4

VfL Bochum 184886.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen13.9

VfL Bochum 184897.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen91.7

VfL Bochum 184844.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen72.2

VfL Bochum 184858.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen27 matchesVfL Bochum 184827 matches

2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271.04 goals/match

1.26 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/272.04 goals/match

1.92 xG/match▲Expected goals27/261.22 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots27/2612.7 shots/match

5.96 shots/match▲Shots on target27/264.04 shots/match

59.4%●Possession27/2643.4%

6.89 corners/match●Corners27/264.54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.15 fouls/matchFouls27/2613.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 matchesVfL Bochum 184814 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.36 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.09 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots14/1310.8 shots/match

6.64 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.92 shots/match

64%●Possession14/1340.9%

7.71 corners/match●Corners14/133.54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.14 fouls/matchFouls14/1315.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Mar 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4