PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 0–4 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 0–4.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.82.85
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat VfL Bochum 1848 4–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – VfB Stuttgart): shots 11–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.8–2.85, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfB Stuttgart's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionVfL Bochum 1848 · VfB Stuttgart● 55.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession43.8%55.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 11 shots, VfB Stuttgart 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 2 shots, VfB Stuttgart 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG2.85 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.8 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.85 xG
  • Possession54%46%VfL Bochum 1848 54%, VfB Stuttgart 46%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 2 corners, VfB Stuttgart 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 17 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonidas Stergiou · VfB Stuttgart · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiorgos Masouras · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTom Krauß · VfL Bochum 1848 · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMats Pannewig · VfL Bochum 1848 · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.12 xG · goalFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.18 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 11′ · 0.32 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.42 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 48′ · 0.67 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 8′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 11′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 48′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.79 xG · VfB Stuttgart 2.82 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184828 matchesVfB Stuttgart28 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.82 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals27/28▲ 1.78 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots27/2812.9 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target27/28▲ 5.07 shots/match
43.8%Possession27/28● 55.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners27/28● 5.11 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2810.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848VfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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