PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–4.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.43.35
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat SC Freiburg 4–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Borussia Dortmund): shots 12–18, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.4–3.35, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

49%PossessionSC Freiburg · Borussia Dortmund● 60.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession49%60.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsSC Freiburg 12 shots, Borussia Dortmund 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSC Freiburg 3 shots, Borussia Dortmund 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG3.35 xGSC Freiburg 1.4 xG, Borussia Dortmund 3.35 xG
  • Possession54%46%SC Freiburg 54%, Borussia Dortmund 46%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersSC Freiburg 3 corners, Borussia Dortmund 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsSC Freiburg 8 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Waldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 88′ · 0.04 xG · goalDaniel Svensson · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.06 xG · goalLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 8′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 71′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 26′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.40 xG · goalPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.40 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 46′ · 0.52 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 63′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.71 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 18 shots, 7 on target, 3.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Maximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 88′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 34′Carney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 51′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 68′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.71 xG · Borussia Dortmund 3.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Freiburg
0Draws
5Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–4
Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–1
SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg28 matchesBorussia Dortmund28 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.54 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.82 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.64 shots/match
49%Possession28/28● 60.2%
3.89 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.86 corners/match
8.79 fouls/matchFouls28/289.64 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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