PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 1–3 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–3.

Shots
619
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.332.34
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat FC Augsburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – FC Bayern München): shots 6–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.33–2.34, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · FC Bayern München18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11 shots/match18.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match6.21 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionFC Augsburg · FC Bayern München● 69.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession42.6%69.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots19 shotsFC Augsburg 6 shots, FC Bayern München 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsFC Augsburg 3 shots, FC Bayern München 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.33 xG2.34 xGFC Augsburg 0.33 xG, FC Bayern München 2.34 xG
  • Possession30%70%FC Augsburg 30%, FC Bayern München 70%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 2 corners, FC Bayern München 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsFC Augsburg 8 fouls, FC Bayern München 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
0Draws
4FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0
FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3
FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1
FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–3
FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg28 matchesFC Bayern München28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2.89 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.96 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 2.48 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 18.7 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 7.82 shots/match
42.6%Possession28/28● 69.4%
4.36 corners/matchCorners28/28● 6.82 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls28/288.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Apr 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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