PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.810.72
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat FC Augsburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – FC Augsburg): shots 14–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.81–0.72, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · FC Augsburg11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.61 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · FC Augsburg43%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession59.4%43%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots, FC Augsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.72 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 0.81 xG, FC Augsburg 0.72 xG
  • Possession53%47%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53%, FC Augsburg 47%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners, FC Augsburg 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 58′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 75′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 13′ · 0.17 xG · goalSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.85 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 13′Emiliano Buendía · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.85 xG · FC Augsburg 0.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0Draws
2FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen31 matchesFC Augsburg31 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.06 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.35 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.94 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.1 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.42 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession31/3143%
6.45 corners/match ●Corners31/314.45 corners/match
9.32 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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