PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Empoli

DLLWD
0–0Full-time recap

Genoa

DDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEmpoliGenoa
Shots15 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals0.56 xG/match0.65 xG/match▲
Possession48%52%●
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Szymon Żurkowski · Empoli · 67′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSzymon Żurkowski · Empoli · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlberto Cerri · Empoli · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMattia Destro · Empoli · 80′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSebastian Walukiewicz · Empoli · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDjed Spence · Genoa · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG. Genoa: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.55 xG · Genoa 0.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Empoli
3Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Empoli favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 7 · 2 too close

0.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/23▲1.04 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.13 goals/match
0.92 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/230.87 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/23▲0.99 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2310.3 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲12 shots/match
3.39 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.22 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.52 shots/match
45.7%●Possessionseason · 23/2343.3%
5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/233.74 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4.96 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2322%
43%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲70%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Empoli37.5
Genoa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Empoli19.2
Genoa15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Empoli14.2
Genoa64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Empoli57.5
Genoa37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Empoli87.5
Genoa30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Empoli65
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Empoli51.9
Genoa11.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Empoli23 matchesGenoa23 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲1.04 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.13 goals/match
0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals23/230.87 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots23/2310.3 shots/match
3.39 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.22 shots/match
45.7%●Possession23/2343.3%
5 corners/match●Corners23/233.74 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Empoli12 matchesGenoa12 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲0.83 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.85 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots12/129.33 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.75 shots/match
45.7%●Possession12/1243.7%
5.08 corners/match●Corners12/122.75 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEmpoliGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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