Serie A · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Udinese

WLDLL

0–0Full-time recap

Monza

DWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Udinese	Monza
Shots	21 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.9 xG/match▲	0.11 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Udinese: 21 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG. Monza: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.93 xG · Monza 0.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Monza have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monza's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.2 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.9%PossessionUdinese · Monza●54.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Monza	Baseline
Possession	39.9%	54.7%	51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · Monza12.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Monza	Baseline
Shots	12.6 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.1 shots/match	15 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Udinese

2Draws

0Monza

29 Oct 2023Monza — Udinese · Serie A1–1

8 Apr 2023Udinese — Monza · Serie A2–2

26 Aug 2022Monza — Udinese · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 3 · 3 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/230.91 goals/match

1.61 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.22 goals/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/231.04 xG/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.49 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2312.2 shots/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2315 shots/match

4.3 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.52 shots/match

4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/235.13 shots/match

39.9%Possessionseason · 23/23●54.7%

4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●4.96 corners/match

5.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4.87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲35%

65%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2361%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese2.5

Monza72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese50.8

Monza32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese35.8

Monza20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese97.5

Monza22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese82.5

Monza30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese42.5

Monza57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese61.2

Monza41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Udinese23 matchesMonza23 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored23/230.91 goals/match

1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.22 goals/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals23/231.04 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots23/2312.2 shots/match

4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.52 shots/match

39.9%Possession23/23●54.7%

4.57 corners/matchCorners23/23●4.96 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Udinese12 matchesMonza12 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.75 goals/match

1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.42 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.93 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.5 shots/match

5.42 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.5 shots/match

42%Possession12/12●53.8%

5.25 corners/match●Corners12/124.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4