Serie A · 2023

Monza 1–0 Sassuolo · Serie A

Monza

LDWLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza won 1–0.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.40.76
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza beat Sassuolo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Sassuolo): shots 12–14, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.4–0.76, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Sassuolo13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaSassuoloBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.8% ●PossessionMonza · Sassuolo45.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonzaSassuoloBaseline
Possession54.8%45.6%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsMonza 12 shots, Sassuolo 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsMonza 1 shot, Sassuolo 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.76 xGMonza 0.4 xG, Sassuolo 0.76 xG
  • Possession61%39%Monza 61%, Sassuolo 39%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersMonza 4 corners, Sassuolo 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsMonza 8 fouls, Sassuolo 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Ciurria · Monza · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Boloca · Sassuolo · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentín Carboni · Monza · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattia Viti · Sassuolo · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 26′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Mulattieri · Sassuolo · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 31′ · 0.09 xG · goalKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 16′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSamuele Mulattieri · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.39 xG. Sassuolo: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.39 xG · Sassuolo 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Monza
1Draws
0Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Monza · Serie A0–1
Sassuolo — Monza · Serie A1–2
Monza — Sassuolo · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza22 matchesSassuolo21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.76 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.2 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 4.57 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession22/2145.6%
5 corners/matchCorners22/21● 5.33 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2110 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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