Serie A · 2023

Genoa 2–1 Lecce · Serie A

Genoa

WDDDW
2–1Historical match

Lecce

LLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 2–1.

Shots
1919
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.691.85
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Lecce 2–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Lecce): shots 19–19, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.69–1.85, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots19 shotsGenoa 19 shots, Lecce 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsGenoa 7 shots, Lecce 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG1.85 xGGenoa 1.69 xG, Lecce 1.85 xG
  • Possession49%51%Genoa 49%, Lecce 51%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersGenoa 3 corners, Lecce 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsGenoa 12 fouls, Lecce 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 31′ · 0.02 xG · goalRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicola Sansone · Lecce · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattia Bani · Genoa · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 76′ · 0.14 xG · goalJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 47′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMattia Bani · Genoa · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 18′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedNicola Sansone · Lecce · 51′ · 0.27 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 74′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 70′ · 0.53 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 18′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.75 xG. Lecce: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mateo Retegui · Genoa · 70′Caleb Ekuban · Genoa · 76′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.75 xG · Lecce 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
0Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa22 matchesLecce22 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.95 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.41 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.04 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.86 shots/match
42.9%Possession22/22● 45.1%
3.64 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.18 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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