Serie A · 2023Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaFrosinone
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.25 xG/match1.26 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners1 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Demba Seck · Frosinone · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaweł Dawidowicz · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemba Seck · Frosinone · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFarès Ghedjemis · Frosinone · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 10′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 87′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.19 xG · on targetKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 58′ · 0.70 xG · goalOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.82 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG. Frosinone: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 45′Kaio Jorge · Frosinone · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 2.35 xG · Frosinone 1.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Hellas Verona
0Draws
1Frosinone
FrosinoneHellas Verona · Serie A21

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Frosinone in 3 · 5 too close

0.91 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.32 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.86 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/221.18 xG/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/221.6 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2211.3 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2215.1 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/223.95 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/225.05 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 22/2252.8%
3.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.14 corners/match
5.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/225.45 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2210.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/229%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2277%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona22.5
Frosinone62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona25
Frosinone46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona35.8
Frosinone12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona52.5
Frosinone12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona92.5
Frosinone12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona2.5
Frosinone72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona39.4
Frosinone40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona22 matchesFrosinone22 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.32 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.86 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.18 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots22/2211.3 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target22/223.95 shots/match
45%Possession22/2252.8%
3.45 corners/matchCorners22/225.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona11 matchesFrosinone11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/110.82 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/112.27 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.12 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots11/1110.8 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target11/113.64 shots/match
43.5%Possession11/1151.5%
4 corners/matchCorners11/114.91 corners/match
Cards0/0
14 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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