Serie A · 2023Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Napoli

LDLWD

2–1Full-time recap

Hellas Verona

LLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Napoli	Hellas Verona
Shots	19 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.29 xG/match▲	0.93 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.45 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Hellas Verona11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Hellas Verona	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	20 shots/match	16.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Napoli

2Draws

0Hellas Verona

21 Oct 2023Hellas Verona — Napoli · Serie A1–3

15 Apr 2023Napoli — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–0

15 Aug 2022Hellas Verona — Napoli · Serie A2–5

13 Mar 2022Hellas Verona — Napoli · Serie A1–2

7 Nov 2021Napoli — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 3 too close

1.45 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/230.91 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/231.39 goals/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/230.97 xG/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/231.28 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2311.3 shots/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2313.5 shots/match

5.27 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/233.7 shots/match

3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/234.65 shots/match

60%●Possessionseason · 22/2344.3%

6.32 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/233.39 corners/match

3.64 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/235.7 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2313.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2317%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2365%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli97.5

Hellas Verona22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli85.8

Hellas Verona28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli75

Hellas Verona34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli62.5

Hellas Verona52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli12.5

Hellas Verona92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli97.5

Hellas Verona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli73.8

Hellas Verona40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Napoli22 matchesHellas Verona23 matches

1.45 goals/match▲Goals scored22/230.91 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/231.39 goals/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals22/230.97 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots22/2311.3 shots/match

5.27 shots/match▲Shots on target22/233.7 shots/match

60%●Possession22/2344.3%

6.32 corners/match●Corners22/233.39 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2313.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Napoli11 matchesHellas Verona12 matches

1.45 goals/match▲Goals scored11/120.75 goals/match

1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/121.5 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals11/120.9 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots11/1210.8 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target11/123 shots/match

62.1%●Possession11/1245.2%

7.73 corners/match●Corners11/122.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.45 fouls/matchFouls11/1212.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

Napoli have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match