PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Torino

DLWDW
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoSalernitana
Shots13 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.89 xG/match▲0.1 xG/match
Possession67%●33%
Corners10 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Salernitana · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Masina · Torino · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Lovato · Torino · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Salernitana · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Torino · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 10′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 10′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.89 xG. Salernitana: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.89 xG · Salernitana 0.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Salernitana's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Salernitana have a visible away split

moderate

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.27 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Salernitana's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsTorino · Salernitana10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoSalernitanaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Torino
2Draws
0Salernitana
Salernitana — Torino · Serie A0–3
Torino — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Torino · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Torino · Serie A0–1
Torino — Salernitana · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Salernitana in 1 · 4 too close

0.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/230.83 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/231.91 goals/match
1.03 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/230.78 xG/match
0.98 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/231.81 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2310.6 shots/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2314.8 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/233.3 shots/match
3.91 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/235.26 shots/match
52.1%●Possessionseason · 22/2343.8%
4.41 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/234.17 corners/match
3.32 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/236.43 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2312.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/239%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/23▲61%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino52.5
Salernitana17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino10.8
Salernitana9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino73.3
Salernitana8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino2.5
Salernitana47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino37.5
Salernitana57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino27.5
Salernitana22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino21.2
Salernitana25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Torino22 matchesSalernitana23 matches
0.91 goals/match▲Goals scored22/230.83 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/231.91 goals/match
1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals22/230.78 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots22/2310.6 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target22/233.3 shots/match
52.1%●Possession22/2343.8%
4.41 corners/match●Corners22/234.17 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2312.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Torino11 matchesSalernitana11 matches
1.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.64 goals/match
0.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.61 xG/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots11/118.27 shots/match
3.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.45 shots/match
54.8%●Possession11/1144.3%
6.36 corners/match●Corners11/113.09 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.91 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.66 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.66 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoSalernitana
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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