PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 1–3 Empoli · Serie A

1–3Historical match

Empoli

LLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 1–3.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.882.21
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Salernitana 3–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Empoli): shots 13–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.88–2.21, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsSalernitana 13 shots, Empoli 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSalernitana 4 shots, Empoli 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG2.21 xGSalernitana 0.88 xG, Empoli 2.21 xG
  • Possession61%39%Salernitana 61%, Empoli 39%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersSalernitana 4 corners, Empoli 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsSalernitana 10 fouls, Empoli 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Salernitana
2Draws
3Empoli
Empoli — Salernitana · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Salernitana · Serie A2–1
Salernitana — Empoli · Serie A2–2
Empoli — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Empoli · Serie A2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana24 matchesEmpoli24 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.75 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 0.98 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target24/243.38 shots/match
44.5%Possession24/24● 45.4%
4.17 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.13 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSalernitanaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headSalernitana — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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