PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Genoa

LDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusGenoa
Shots17 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.03 xG/match▲0.19 xG/match
Possession66%●34%
Corners12 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Filip Kostić · Juventus · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · Juventus · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabio Miretti · Juventus · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Bani · Genoa · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFederico Gatti · Juventus · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Juventus · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 75′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 17 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG. Genoa: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.06 xG · Genoa 0.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible away split

moderate

Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.87 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.87 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Genoa10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusGenoaBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus
1Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Juventus · Serie A2–1
Juventus — Genoa · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 2 too close

1.52 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.07 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.24 goals/match
1.55 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 29/290.88 xG/match
0.73 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 29/291.08 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2910.9 shots/match
11.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2912.4 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/293.38 shots/match
3.03 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/293.79 shots/match
48.8%●Possessionseason · 29/2944%
5.24 corners/match●Cornersseason · 29/294.14 corners/match
4.34 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/295 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2911.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2924%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2972%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus42.5
Genoa17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus74.2
Genoa20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus85.8
Genoa60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
Genoa42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus50
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus77.5
Genoa10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus69.4
Genoa14.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Juventus29 matchesGenoa29 matches
1.52 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.07 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.24 goals/match
1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals29/290.88 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots29/2910.9 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target29/293.38 shots/match
48.8%●Possession29/2944%
5.24 corners/match●Corners29/294.14 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Juventus15 matchesGenoa15 matches
1.47 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.13 goals/match
1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals15/150.76 xG/match
15.4 shots/match▲Shots15/158.87 shots/match
4.27 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.73 shots/match
49.7%●Possession15/1541.5%
6.07 corners/match●Corners15/152.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.66 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Juventus vs Genoa — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath